UNLV
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 91.6853Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 7- 3 214 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 9- 8 214 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 3- 5 215 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 12-13 227 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 5- 4 228 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 8- 5 301 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3- 5 306 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 0- 9 308 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 10- 5 310 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 11-10 317 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 4- 3 323 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 11-12 330 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 14-17 408 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 7-13 505 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 2- 5 521 A Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 2-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Austin Peay 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.40
214 H Austin Peay 9- 8 1 0 1.40
214 H Austin Peay 3- 5 -2 0 -1.60
215 H Austin Peay 12-13 -1 0 -0.60
227 A Santa Clara 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.38
228 A Santa Clara 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.38
301 A Santa Clara 3- 5 -2 -2 0.38
306 H Utah 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.55
308 A Northwestern 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.51
310 H UC Riverside 11-10 1 3 -1.76
317 A Grand Canyon 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.08
323 H Arizona State 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.28
330 H Cal State Bakersfield 14-17 -3 -1 - -2.47
408 H Portland 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.09
505 H BYU 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.61
521 A Air Force 2-17 -15 -4 --- -10.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Utah 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.55 521 A Air Force 2-17 -15 -4 --- -10.11 408 H Portland 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.09 330 H Cal State Bakersfield 14-17 -3 -1 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Northwestern 10- 5 5 -2 +++ 6.51 213 H Austin Peay 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.40 228 A Santa Clara 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.38 323 H Arizona State 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.28 227 A Santa Clara 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.38 317 A Grand Canyon 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 7- 3 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 1.81 38.36
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 9- 8 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 1.81 38.36
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 3- 5 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 1.81 -7.06
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 12-13 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 1.81 -7.06
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 5- 4 -6.51 11.91 0.68 1.81 45.52
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 8- 5 -6.51 11.91 0.68 1.81 45.52
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3- 5 -6.51 11.91 0.68 1.81 -5.27
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 0- 9 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 1.81 -5.21
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 10- 5 -7.38 11.04 0.68 1.81 42.36
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 11-10 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 1.81 26.94
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 4- 3 -6.81 11.62 0.68 1.81 44.44
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 11-12 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 1.81 -2.65
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 14-17 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 1.81 -6.95
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 7-13 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 1.81 -6.60
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 1.81 -5.27
3 A Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 2-17 -5.00 13.42 0.68 1.81 -3.91
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231.50
|
winning pts = 281.4935 losing points = -49.9938
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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